
But
with five people dead and several others injured, there are
understandably numerous questions that law enforcement officers, the
Department of Homeland Security and travelers in general will now be
asking.
As
we saw in last year's terrorist attack in Brussels, the "soft bellies"
of airports can become vulnerable targets. Why describe them as soft
bellies? After all, aviation security checkpoints aimed at preventing
terror attacks have created an increasingly secure airspace. The problem
is, the law of unintended consequences has meant perpetrators have
shifted away from attacking airplanes in flight in favor of areas like
departure and arrival halls.
These
so-called landside areas of airports are attractive to those intent on
causing harm because they concentrate a large number of people in a
relative small area, areas that are difficult to protect without
creating a massive inconvenience to travelers.
Some
suggest that the screening process could be pushed farther out, away
from the check-in areas. But this would be unlikely to solve the
problem, since it only shifts the vulnerability to another location.
Meanwhile, the cost of such changes would also be prohibitive.
And,
in the case of Friday's shooting, it appears that such a move would
have done nothing to prevent the attack. In this case, the suspect is
believed to have already had the firearm with him in his checked
baggage, having apparently followed standard and lawful protocols by
checking his firearm when he departed Anchorage, and picking it up again
when he arrived.
Of
course, regardless of the circumstances under which the shooter was
able to access a firearm, the result among travelers is the same: an
increase in social anxiety around air travel, and greater concern over
aviation security.
Indeed,
a shooting at one airport inevitably draws attention to the 400+
commercial airports across the United States, all while sparking concern
over where and when the next such event might occur. If
attention-seeking is the objective of a shooter, then airports will
therefore continue to be high on the target list.
Despite
all this, the data shows that mass shootings at airports are still
extremely rare and are merely one target of gunmen -- nightclubs, malls,
movie theaters and schools have all been targeted in the past few
years. Despite the particular attention that tends to be paid to airport
shootings, any locations with a high density of people who have freedom
of movement are potential targets.
It
is, so far, unclear why this shooter chose an airport rather than any
other target, although with the suspect in custody, law enforcement
might be able to gather some valuable insights that could help them
prepare for future attacks. The problem they face, of course, is that
lone-wolf attackers (if that is what the suspect is shown to be) are by
their nature difficult to predict and stop. As a result, they will
remain a continuing and significant threat.
Was
the suspect in Friday's shooting, named by officials as Esteban
Santiago, a lone-wolf terrorist? It is too early to know that. But it is
already clear that the issue of people carrying firearms in checked
luggage will become a heated topic of conversation among security
officials, as well as those on both sides of the gun control debate.
And
security officials will no doubt be investigating whether there was any
evidence to suggest that the shooter should not have been permitted to
fly at all.
Sadly, though,
whatever the results of the investigation, we can already be sure that
this won't be the last mass shooting in 2017. From 2006 to mid-2015,
for example, a mass killing has occurred on average approximately once
every 12 days in the United States, with mass killings defined by the
FBI as an event in which four or more victims are killed.
Most
of those shootings won't attract the widespread national attention seen
Friday. But when innocent, random bystanders become victims of a mass
shooting at an airport, it instills a certain kind of fear. Yes,
everyone knows that more people die every day on America's roads than do
in mass shootings. But no matter how many people are killed, these
incidents spark debate over how best to prevent this type of event in
the future.
These kinds
of deliberate, random killings prompt a visceral reaction that connects
us all. And that is one reason why airports will continue to remain
targets.
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